We wrote last week about a Susquehanna Polling and Research survey conducted for the Pennsylvania Republican Party that showed a 1 point margin between President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. The poll found a far narrower margin than other recent independent statewide surveys show, and a spokesman for the state Democratic Party called the discovery of a dead-heat “complete fiction.”
Today the Susquehanna pollsters defended their findings, calling a double-digit lead for Obama “not believable” and saying their methodology best reflects the level of turnout on Nov. 6. ” … Turnout this November will not be anywhere near ’08 levels when 5.9 million votes were cast,” the pollsters wrote.
“It is simply unrealistic to think Obama can or will win the Keystone State by the same double-digit margin he won by four years ago when you consider that most state and national polls continue to show most voters unhappy with the direction of the country after two straight years of unemployment at 8% or higher,” the pollsters wrote.
You can read the entire Susquehanna Polling post here.